Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.174870 0.206483 0.241854 0.284319 0.333872 0.389829 0.457769
2025-08-24 0.128066 0.168724 0.219079 0.285846 0.371859 0.478737 0.621416
2025-08-31 0.097992 0.140187 0.196574 0.277067 0.388608 0.537254 0.749858
2025-09-07 0.081794 0.125216 0.186972 0.280595 0.418224 0.612266 0.905566
2025-09-14 0.069215 0.112459 0.177407 0.281171 0.441726 0.679368 1.056041
2025-09-21 0.058463 0.100285 0.166284 0.276852 0.456012 0.733010 1.191093
2025-09-28 0.050491 0.091037 0.157998 0.275146 0.473102 0.791496 1.338610
2025-10-05 0.046715 0.088113 0.159334 0.288885 0.516182 0.894876 1.568178
2025-10-12 0.044109 0.086760 0.162975 0.306696 0.567735 1.016959 1.841006
2025-10-19 0.040488 0.082935 0.161617 0.315227 0.603659 1.115644 2.083255
2025-10-26 0.036291 0.077339 0.156192 0.315407 0.624132 1.188767 2.286969
2025-11-02 0.031555 0.069933 0.146300 0.305693 0.624682 1.225418 2.427074
2025-11-09 0.026650 0.061653 0.134036 0.290672 0.615081 1.245703 2.545966
2025-11-16 0.023914 0.057623 0.129915 0.291783 0.638024 1.331403 2.802208
2025-11-23 0.020714 0.051997 0.121582 0.282791 0.638894 1.373415 2.975952
2025-11-30 0.018916 0.049311 0.119235 0.286384 0.666657 1.472506 3.276357
2025-12-07 0.017126 0.046336 0.115787 0.286972 0.687789 1.559795 3.560991
2025-12-14 0.015247 0.042807 0.110518 0.282568 0.697027 1.622401 3.798815
2025-12-21 0.013752 0.040014 0.106607 0.280827 0.712107 1.699195 4.075731
2025-12-28 0.013236 0.039769 0.108979 0.294838 0.766252 1.869268 4.580731
2026-01-04 0.012936 0.040075 0.112800 0.313000 0.832620 2.074061 5.186325
2026-01-11 0.012213 0.039045 0.112965 0.321699 0.876390 2.230158 5.692665
2026-01-18 0.011202 0.036990 0.110075 0.321882 0.898425 2.336348 6.089642